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Trump, Biden zero in on swing states that are key to victory

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JOHNSTOWN, Pa. (AP) — With Election Day just three weeks away, President Donald Trump and Democratic challenger Joe Biden concentrated Tuesday on battleground states both see as critical to clinching an Electoral College victory, tailoring their travel to best motivate voters who could cast potentially decisive ballots.

Biden went to Florida to court seniors, looking to deliver a knockout blow in a state Trump needs to win while trying to woo a group whose support for the president has slipped. And Trump visited Pennsylvania, arguably the most important state on the electoral map, unleashing fierce attacks on Biden’s fitness for office in his opponent’s backyard.

“He’s shot, folks. I hate to tell you, he’s shot,” Trump told a big rally crowd in Johnstown, saying there was extra pressure on him to win because Biden was the worst presidential candidate of all time. “Can you imagine if you lose to a guy like this? It’s unbelievable.”

In his second rally since contracting the coronavirus, Trump spoke for more than an hour to a crowd of thousands packed in tightly and mostly maskless. Like the night before in Florida, Trump seemed healthy, and his rhetoric on the pandemic — including the dubious claim that it was mostly a thing of the past — changed little despite his own illness, except for his threat to kiss audience members to prove his immunity.

Trump made a local pitch, hammering home the claim that a Democratic administration could limit fracking in areas where the economy is heavily dependent on energy, despite Biden’s proposal to only bar new leases on federal land, a fraction of U.S. fracking operations. And Trump, touting his elimination of a federal rule that would have brought more low-income housing to the suburbs, zeroed in on groups whose support he has struggled

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Trump, Biden trips offer insight into their Electoral College calculations

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WASHINGTON (AP) — With Election Day just three weeks away, President Donald Trump and Democratic challenger Joe Biden concentrated Tuesday on battleground states both see as critical to clinching an Electoral College victory, tailoring their travel to best motivate voters who could cast cast potentially decisive ballots.

Biden was in Florida courting seniors, betting that a voting bloc that buoyed Trump four years ago has become disenchanted with the White House’s handling of the coronavrius pandemic. It was Biden’s third visit to the state in a month, after making targeted appeals to veterans and the Latino and Haitian communities.

Trump was in Pennsylvania, Biden’s native state and one where Biden has spent far more time than any other in recent months. The president wants to hammer home the risk that a Democratic administration could limit hydraulic fracking in areas where the economy is heavily dependent on energy. It’s an effort to fire up a conservative base that Trump will have to turn out in droves to secure the 270 electoral votes needed to retain the White House.

The president also campaigned in Sanford, Florida, on Monday and will head back to the state on Friday.

The dueling trips come against the backdrop of a second day of hearings in the Senate to confirm Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court. Trump and top Republicans see a swift confirmation just weeks after the death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg as a chance to energize conservatives.

Biden’s campaign believes it can win the presidency without Florida’s 29 electoral votes, but it wants to lock up the state to pad a margin of victory over Trump, who has for months questioned the legitimacy of an election where many people will cast mail-in ballots amid the pandemic. Biden has vowed to win Pennsylvania, but

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Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden: Where they stand on COVID, education and more

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Amid the tumult of the 2020 presidential campaign, one dynamic has remained constant: The Nov. 3 election offers voters a choice between substantially different policy paths.

President Donald Trump, like many fellow Republicans, holds out tax reductions and regulatory cuts as economic imperatives and frames himself as a conservative champion in the culture wars. The president has offered few details about how he would pull the levers of government in a second term. His most consistent argument focuses on stopping Democratic opponent Joe Biden and his party from pushing U.S. policy leftward.

Biden, for his part, is not the socialist caricature depicted by Trump. But he is every bit a center-left Democrat who frames the federal government as the force to combat the coronavirus, rebuild the economy and address centuries of institutional racism and systemic inequalities. The former vice president and U.S. senator also offers his deal-making past as evidence he can do it again from the Oval Office.

A look at where the rivals stand on key issues:

Economy, taxes

Low unemployment and a soaring stock market were Trump’s calling cards before the pandemic. While the stock market has clawed its way back after cratering in the early weeks of the crisis, unemploymen t stands at 7.9%, and the nearly 10 million jobs that remain lost since the pandemic began exceed the number that the nation shed during the entire 2008-2009 Great Recession.

Trump has predicted that the U.S. economy will rebound in the third and fourth quarters of this year and is set to take off like a “rocket ship” in 2021. He promises that a coronavirus vaccine or effective therapeutics will soon be available, allowing life to get back to normal. His push for a payroll tax cut over the summer was thwarted by stiff bipartisan opposition.

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Biden Widens Electoral College Lead Over Trump as Projection Shows Arizona, New Hampshire Shift Blue

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Democratic Presidential candidate Joe Biden has increased his Electoral College lead over President Donald Trump, as a projection map shows Arizona and New Hampshire shifting blue.

The projection map, named Sabato’s Crystal Ball is created by the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, and the election race ratings “are based on a number of factors, including electoral history, polling, candidate quality, modeling, and reporting,” according to the map.

The map shows Electoral College changes for three key swing states, including Arizona, New Hampshire and Georgia. According to the map, Arizona moved from a “toss up” to “leans Democratic,” New Hampshire moved from “leans Democratic” to “likely Democratic” and Georgia went from “leans Republican” to a “toss up.”

According to Ballotpedia.org, during the 2016 election, Trump won Arizona by 3.6 points but lost New Hampshire to Hillary Clinton by 0.3 points.

The shift to blue in Arizona and New Hampshire push Biden past 270 electoral votes needed as well as increasing his lead over the Republican president.

According to the map, Biden and the Democrats are projected 290 electoral votes, with 13 states listed as “safe Democratic,” six states listed as “likely Democratic and five states as “lean Democratic.”

In comparison, the map shows Trump and the Republicans having 163 electoral votes, with 13 states listed as “safe Republican,” seven states listed as “likely Republican” and just one state listed as “lean Republican.”

The remaining five states, Iowa, Ohio, North Carolina, Georgia and Florida are listed as a toss-ups.

Joe Biden
Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden, speaks to the press before boarding his campaign plane at Wilmington Airport on October 8 in New Castle, Delaware. The increase in Biden’s Electoral College lead over Trump comes within a month till Election Day.
Brendan Smialowski/Getty

Last week, the Crystal Ball Electoral College projection map showed

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Trump, Biden each has 45% support in Florida poll

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The news cycle is jampacked with polls. But have you ever wondered how polls actually work and what they mean?

USA TODAY

The presidential race is tied in Florida less than 30 days before the election, according to a Suffolk University/USA TODAY Network poll that shows President Donald Trump’s campaign is still highly competitive in a must-win state despite a calamitous stretch.

Trump and Democratic opponent Joe Biden each is supported by 45% of voters in the poll, while 6% of voters are undecided, and the rest support third-party candidates or refuse to say who they back.

“You can’t get any closer than a 45/45 split; it really reflects the core support of the respective bases,” says David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center.

Trump’s campaign had a series of setbacks last week, from a New York Times report that the candidate paid just $750 in federal income taxes in 2016 to a widely panned debate performance and Trump’s positive coronavirus test, which took him off the campaign trail and put a spotlight on his virus response.

Despite the tumult, slightly more Florida voters (48%) approve of the president’s job performance than disapprove (47%), according to the poll, which largely was conducted after the president’s COVID-19 diagnosis.

VP debate Wednesday: Vice President Mike Pence campaigns despite Trump’s COVID-19 diagnosis

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With President Donald Trump hospitalized, Joe Biden is wishing him a speedy recovery, but urging him to “listen to scientists” and approve nationwide restrictions to stop the spread of the virus.

AP Domestic

“Oftentimes, politics is like mixing cement,” Paleologos says. “In the early stages of a candidate’s life or in the early stages of a campaign, the cement is fluid, but as time goes on, it hardens, and I think you have a hardening of

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