Well, when you’re wrong, you’re wrong. And, holy cow, I was wrong about Week 4 games in the Big 12. My only true correct pick was laying the points with Baylor against Kansas — but, come on, does that really count? Had I taken Iowa State-TCU at -3 or -3.5, perhaps that would have counted as a winner. In any case, I completely whiffed on laying the points with Oklahoma and Texas. Then again, neither of those games went to script.
Given the number of picks we make a week, hitting above 60% ATS is normally a successful year. That might have to be graded on a curve in 2020. Regardless, we’re back this week trying to pick winners in uncertain times. Not all heroes wear capes, but some take the points.
Let’s get to this week’s picks in the Big 12.
TCU at No. 9 Texas (-13.5): This game has been a Gary Patterson special. TCU has won six of eight against Texas since joining the Big 12, though some of that has to do with the Longhorns being decisively mediocre during that stretch. Getting quarterback Max Duggan back is a boost for the offense. He threw for three touchdowns in the second half against Iowa State, though one was as time expired in the game. Given Texas’ struggles against the pass, the Frogs could hold their own. Speaking of quarterbacks, Sam Ehlinger makes enough plays for Texas to get the home W, but I’m not loving the defense to make the necessary stops to win by two full touchdowns. The over could be an additional play here, too. Pick: TCU +13.5
Baylor (-3) at West Virginia: The Mountaineers are much better at playing horseshoes than football at the moment. They’ve been close enough, but not all the way