The polling danger for Trump: Erosion among independents and those with college degrees

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Biden leads by 10 points, 53 percent to 43 percent.

The 2020 race has been unusually stable, with Biden holding a healthy polling lead for months. Nothing seems to have shaken the race’s fundamental stability. Various new revelations, the conventions, the evolution of the coronavirus pandemic: None has reshaped the contest to any noticeable degree since Biden became the Democratic nominee.

In the 2016 presidential race, Post-ABC polling was more variable. From June to October, there was a 9-point spread in the margin between Trump and Hillary Clinton in our polls, from a six-point to a 15-point Clinton lead. This year, the spread has been five points, from a 10-point to a 15-point Biden lead.

That persistent lead is a function of a number of important shifts in support since 2016. We took demographic data from each poll and averaged the margins among each group for the periods after the party nominees were set. Here’s how Trump’s position has changed with each.

You’ll notice first that the average of the overall margins is similar. Clinton led by 11 points on average, compared with Biden’s 12 points. One key difference: By September, her lead was only 7 points. In the final weeks of the campaign, our tracking polls had that margin narrowing further.

When looking at party, we see that both Republicans and Democrats are more supportive of their party’s candidates than in 2016. But there’s a significant difference among independents, who prefer Biden by 18 points in polls this year compared with five points four years ago.

Support by age shows another important shift. Younger voters are more heavily supportive of Biden than they were of Clinton, but voters younger than 45 made up 38 percent of the vote in 2016. Those ages 60 and older made up 34 percent


This ‘Hacker University’ Offers Dark Web Cybercrime Degrees For $125

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A newly published report into the new economy of the dark web from cybersecurity-as-a-service specialist Armor’s Threat Resistance Unit (TRU), contains much of what you might expect. The relatively cheap trade-in loan applications, business ‘fullz’ comprising a complete business attack dossier, and even SMS text bombing rental services. One discovery, however, stood out from the others as far as this somewhat jaded cyber-writer is concerned: a hacker university selling cybercrime courses to dark web degree students.

The people behind HackTown, the hacker university in question, describe it as somewhere designed to teach people how to become professional cybercriminals. The welcome page states that every course is geared towards “hacking for profit and committing fraud,” aiming at those with little or no coding experience. “By taking the courses offered,” the HackTown operators say, “you will gain the knowledge and skills needed to hack an individual or company successfully.”

Using a handful of free courses to tempt the would-be cybercrime mastermind, HackTown has an enrollment fee of $125 (£97), opening the doors to all other courses. The free courses themselves cover everything from operational security to network attacks, Wi-Fi hacking and carding. The latter being the trade in stolen credit and debit cards, along with the theft of this data and money laundering aspects for good measure. Once enrolled, HackTown offers courses in accessing router admin panels, discovering targets inside a compromised network, brute force attacks, man-in-the-middle attacks and so on.

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Delving a little deeper, the Armor TRU researchers found that this hacker university claims to provide all the tools required to “fast track your cybercriminal hacker career,” as well as “excellent